Swans to beat Freo
Port to beat Tigers
Hawks to beat Cats
Bombers to beat Roos

My reasoning:

Port will have to travel again to WA to fight Freo.
Freo will have a tougher match-up against Port
Swans would play Cats or Bombers in a prelim at home for a berth in the GF
Hawks would need to play Freo or Port in a prelim at the G. Not guaranteed.

I tipped Freo for the flag at the start of the year so I'm nervous about this week's game. A good start is critical to mess with their structures and confidence. They are a well drilled and well coached team.

Win or lose, we will always play in Sydney or Melbourne throughout the finals.