Round 21: Aspley Hornets v Sydney Swans Reserves @ Graham Road

[ugg]

NEAFL 2015 Round 21

Aspley Hornets v Sydney Swans Reserves

Saturday 29th August 2015
12.00pm
Graham Road

Trust the NEAFL schedule boffins to wait until the final round of the season to arrange the much anticipated Grand Final rematch between the Hornets and the Swans. After trailing by 31 points heading into the last quarter, the Hornets secured the 2014 NEAFL title with an amazing 50m kick after the siren by David Smith, a goal worthy of winning any Grand Final. Despite losing key players going into this season but the Hornets have done just as well - they will finish with the same 13-5 record as last year if they beat the Swans tomorrow.

The Swans have a very slight chance of finishing 3rd but that would require winning by a very large margin tomorrow (approx. 100 points). It is more likely the Swans will end up 4th or 5th and travel for the first week of the finals, either again to Aspley or across town to face Sydney Uni. Playing Uni would be preferable from a travel standpoint as it would probably be held at Blacktown, rather than making a second Queensland trip in the space of a week. For this situation to eventuate, one of two outcomes need to occur:

1. lose to Aspley; or
2. beat Aspley and hope UWS beat Uni

Now given that UWS have only dropped one game the whole year, the chances of Uni winning seem slim. However, the Giants have been hit by injuries in recent weeks and the team named to face Uni is one of the weakest lineups of the year in terms of number of listed players, so I wouldn't discount Uni pulling of an upset.

The Swans meanwhile are boosted by a number of returns and will field a much stronger side than the one that lost to the Giants by 80 points last week.


NEAFL Ladder

Position	Team	Played	Wins	Losses	Draws	FF	For	Against	Percentage	Points
1	UWS Giants	17	16	1	0	0	2290	997	229.69%	64
2	NT Thunder	18	15	3	0	0	1800	1334	134.93%	60
3	Aspley	17	12	5	0	0	1630	1335	122.10%	48
4	Sydney University	17	11	6	0	0	1609	1187	135.55%	44
5	Sydney Swans	17	11	6	0	0	1305	1238	105.41%	44
6	Southport	17	7	10	0	0	1509	1533	98.43%	28
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7	Gold Coast Suns	17	7	10	0	0	1431	1578	90.68%	28
8	Redland	17	7	10	0	0	1221	1523	80.17%	28
9	Ainslie	17	5	11	1	0	1368	1681	81.38%	22
10	Eastlake	17	1	15	1	0	982	1949	50.38%	6
11	Brisbane Lions	17	1	16	0	0	1090	1880	57.98%	4

Recent Form
Reserves

Round	Team	Venue	Result	F	A
R1	Ainslie	Away	Win	108	51
R2	UWS Giants	Home	Loss	58	121
R3	Gold Coast Suns	Away	Win	110	42
R4	Sydney University	Away	Win	69	28
R5	UWS Giants	Away	Loss	81	88
R6	Southport	Home	Win	97	45
R7	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE
R8	Brisbane Lions	Home	Win	110	36
R9	Gold Coast Suns	Away	Win	89	59
R10	Eastlake	Away	Win	101	36
R11	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE
R12	Sydney University	Home	Loss	41	116
R13	UWS Giants	Home	Loss	14	198
R14	Brisbane Lions	Away	Win	83	53
R15	Redland	Home	Win	105	50
R16	NT Thunder	Away	Loss	44	97
R17	Brisbane Lions	Home	Win	86	41
R18	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE
R19	Gold Coast Suns	Home	Win	67	56
R20	UWS Giants	Away	Loss	42	122

Aspley

Round	Team	Venue	Result	F	A
R1	Eastlake	Home	Win	167	28
R2	Gold Coast Suns	Home	Win	119	105
R3	Sydney University	Home	Win	105	102
R4	Eastlake	Away	Win	102	80
R5	NT Thunder	Home	Loss	85	98
R6	Ainslie	Away	Win	100	56
R7	Brisbane Lions	Home	Win	94	60
R8	Redland	Away	Win	78	54
R9	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE
R10	NT Thunder	Away	Win	101	98
R11	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE
R12	Southport	Home	Win	123	75
R13	Redland	Away	Win	113	40
R14	UWS Giants	Away	Loss	54	148
R15	NT Thunder	Home	Loss	51	68
R16	Southport	Away	Win	94	63
R17	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE	BYE
R18	Sydney University	Away	Loss	59	105
R19	Redland	Home	Loss	80	88
R20	Ainslie	Away	Win	105	67

Past Meetings
2014
Grand Final @ Graham Road

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aspley	3.3	9.4	9.7	15.12	102
Reserves	3.5	7.7	14.8	15.10	100

Type	Players
Goals	T.Membrey 5, D.Towers 2, J.Hiscox, M.Wright, Z.Jones, C.Mills, S.Naismith, T.Mitchell, R.O'Keefe, B.Jack
Best	T.Mitchell, T.Membrey, X.Richards, D.Towers, S.Biggs, R.O'Keefe

Last Round

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
UWS Giants	3.8	8.12	13.17	16.26	122
Reserves	3.1	4.4	4.6	6.6	42

Type	Players
Goals	J.Hiscox 2, A.Aliir, S.Wilson, E.Prescott, J.Campbell
Best	N.Newman, T.Nankervis, A.Aliir, T.Derickx, C.Bird, J.Hiscox

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ainslie	4.2	5.4	6.5	10.7	67
Aspley	2.2	7.6	13.7	16.9	105

Type	Players
Goals	E.Sansbury 4, H.Joyce 4, G.Grose 2, J.Nelis 2, J.Mills, C.Stiller, J.Stanley, A.Hughes
Best	E.Sansbury, M.Payne, G.Grose, H.Joyce, C.Wagner, J.Nelis

Team List
Listed players

#	Name	Games	Goals	Votes	Notes
1	James ROSE	13	17	8	Senior emergency
9	Abe DAVIS	16	7	24
13	Toby NANKERVIS	12	15	17
14	Craig BIRD	7	6	19
17	Jack HISCOX	14	16	11
19	Tom DERICKX	13	3	13
21	Ben McGLYNN	4	2	0
28	Nic NEWMAN	14	5	18
29	George HEWETT	14	5	21
30	Sean McLAREN	16	14	8
31	Harrison MARSH	14	2	31
36	Aliir ALIIR	14	2	14
42	Xavier RICHARDS	13	2	12
43	Lewis MELICAN	3	0	0
45	Jordan FOOTE	13	4	11

Changes
In: Rose, McGlynn, Hewett, Marsh, X.Richards
Out:

The precocious Rose unluckily gets squeezed from the senior side by some big names returning. McGlynn makes yet another (4th) return in the reserves as a last push for senior selection, and it will be interesting to see how many minutes he gets. Bird and Melican were also on restricted time last week against UWS. Marsh and Richards return to bolster the undersized backline.

Academy Players/Topups

#	Name	Games	Goals	Votes	Notes
46	Callum MILLS	1	0	0
49	Eli PRESCOTT	5	2	0
50	Jake BROWN	6	1	0
54	Ryan HEBRON	6	0	0
56	Jake VEALE	6	1	0
59	Lachlan BEHAGG	5	5	0
60	Harrison CARR	0	0	0	Debut

In: Carr, Mills
Out: Darcy BARON-HAY, Jack CAMPBELL, Nathan COOPER, Nick FOSTER, Callum McFADDEN, Sam WILSON

Statistics

Disposals

Player	Games	Avg. Disposals
Tom MITCHELL	3	33.3
Adam GOODES	2	26.0
Craig BIRD	7	25.7
Nic NEWMAN	14	24.2
George HEWETT	14	23.9

Kicks

Player	Games	Avg. Kicks
Harry CUNNINGHAM	2	18.0
Nic NEWMAN	14	17.1
Isaac HEENEY	3	15.7
Tom MITCHELL	3	15.7
Craig BIRD	7	14.3

Handballs

Player	Games	Avg. Handballs
Tom MITCHELL	3	17.7
Adam GOODES	2	12.5
George HEWETT	14	13.4
Craig BIRD	7	11.4
Daniel ROBINSON	11	11.4

Marks

Player	Games	Avg. Marks
Dean TOWERS	9	7.6
Toby NANKERVIS	12	5.5
Aliir ALIIR	14	5.4
Nic NEWMAN	14	5.3
Craig BIRD	7	5.1

Tackles

Player	Games	Avg. Tackles
Harry CUNNINGHAM	2	8.0
Ben McGLYNN	4	7.8
Isaac HEENEY	3	7.7
Tom MITCHELL	3	7.3
Jordan FOOTE	13	6.2

Hitouts

Player	Games	Avg. Hitouts
Tom DERICKX	13	27.3
Sam NAISMITH	8	23.1
Toby NANKERVIS	12	19.3
Sean McLAREN	16	2.2
Daniel ROBINSON	11	1.8

Clearances

Player	Games	Avg. Clearances
George HEWETT	14	7.4
Craig BIRD	7	7.1
Adam GOODES	2	7.0
Tom MITCHELL	3	7.0
Daniel ROBINSON	10	6.2

Inside 50s

Player	Games	Avg. Inside 50s
Dean TOWERS	9	6.1
Adam GOODES	2	6.0
Brandon JACK	11	5.1
Harry CUNNINGHAM	2	5.0
Ben McGLYNN	4	5.0

Rebound 50s

Player	Games	Avg. Rebound 50s
Nic NEWMAN	14	5.9
Xavier RICHARDS	13	3.4
Aliir ALIIR	14	3.3
Harrison MARSH	14	2.7
Tom MITCHELL	3	2.3

Goals

Player	Games	Total Goals
James ROSE	13	17
Toby NANKERVIS	12	16
Sam NAISMITH	8	14
Sean McLAREN	16	14
Jack HISCOX	14	14

Coaches Votes

Player	Games	Total Votes
Harrison MARSH	14	31
Abaina DAVIS	16	24
Daniel ROBINSON	11	22
Zak JONES	10	21
George HEWETT	14	21

NEAFL MVP Votes (public count stopped at Round 18)

Player	Games	Total Votes
Harrison MARSH	12	27
George HEWETT	12	25
Craig BIRD	6	20
Jordan FOOTE	12	17
Brandon JACK	11	15

Aspley Hornets

B:	31. Gavin GROSE	23. Michael HUTCHINSON	21. Jack STANLEY
HB:	27. Daniel HENDERSON	7. Joey DAYE	32. Cheynee STILLER
C:	2. Henry JOYCE	8. Matt PAYNE	26. Jon WILLIAMSHF:
F:	5. Eddie SANSBURY	35. Scott DICKINSON	11. Clinton FRENCH
Foll:	18. Brendan FORBES	12. Reeye TOYE	16. Ryan HOLMAN
Int:	10. Adam HUGHES	37. Brendan COLCH	19. Jordan MILLS
	29. Todd DICKINSON	13. Matt LITTLE
Emg:	29. Henry LEONG	33. Jacob WATSON

In: Dickinson, French
Out: Matt ARGUS, Corey WAGNER

Players to watch:

• Matt Payne - last year's NEAFL B&F winner's numbers are slightly down this year compared to last year's, but is still having a stellar season leading the NEAFL MVP count when public counts stopped a few rounds ago. Jordan Foote has been doing some run with roles for us and could be asked to clamp down on Payne.
• Eddie Sansbury - Leading Hornets goalkicker and 4th overall in the NEAFL, the former North Melbourne player is often given plenty of space to outwit his man one on one. Harry Marsh seems his most likely opponent.
• Gavin Grose - Reliable and experienced fullback who has been named BOG in 4 of his 16 games this year.
• Cheynee Stiller - Ex-Lion has been named at halfback but often plays through the midfield and can contribute on the scoreboard.

[bloodspirit]

Thanks for the great preview as ever, Ugg. Looks like our team will be dramatically stronger this week so here's hoping we win and never mind the possible travel consequences.

A question for you: do you think Marsh's relatively good form this year will be enough to save him from being delisted given he still hasn't been given a chance at senior level?

[ugg]

The Swans players and coaches always talk about playing your role when you get a chance at senior level, so we should rephrase the question to what kind of role could Marsh fill in the senior team.

Whilst he has played as a key defender in the reservesin some matches, I sincerely do not think he would be able to replicate this role in the seniors. So he would have to become either a 3rd/medium defender in the mould of Malceski, Mattner or Laidler or a small defender (Smith) or running halfback (Shaw). Despite his pace I don't think he provides enough run to become Shaw's successor and his forays as a small defender have had mixed results. Where he has really excelled this year is as that 3rd defender who knows when to peel off his man to help his key defenders.

Hence I think being a medium defender is his best chance but will he ever get an opportunity ahead of the current setup, and possibly have Newman to contend with for that spot in the coming years. Also don't forget the list management side of things and with most of our draft picks possibly tied up with Mills and Dunkley, they may prefer having Marsh on the list as a ready-made depth (physically speaking) than an 18 year straight out of the Under 18 system.

[troyjones2525]

Looking forward to watching the replay of the stream as I'm on night shift this weekend! Hope Mills gets at least half a game.

[royboy42]

I hope ugg has a long term contract here.

If any other side snagged him for their info, it would be tragic for us in RWO.

I always fear the Swans stealing him from us, and restricting his info from us.


Great job ugg....as always

[ugg]

[Pmcc2911]

Interested to see how no 60 Harry Carr goes, has played mostly 19's with a few senior games of late with the North Shote Bombers (local junior).
Tall rangy lad with a good kick.

[ugg]

Sydney uni leading UWS at the moment. If this continues we will have to beat Aspley to avoid traveling to Qld next week

[ugg]

Nine straight goals to Uni. The way they are playing we will want to avoid them next week in a sudden death final

[Triple B]

Sydney uni leading UWS at the moment. If this continues we will have to beat Aspley to avoid traveling to Qld next week

Don't we need to LOSE to Aspley to avoid travelling???

[WauchopeAnalyst]

We are playing to lose. Just rubbish.

[dimelb]

Disposal by hand and foot needs work, including kicking for goal; we've been very wasteful. Overall, Aspley is doing better in that department. They're a pretty niggly side, aren't they?
Great intercept mark from Aliir, saved an almost certain goal.