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Thread: 2019 ladder prediction for the swans

  1. #109
    Quote Originally Posted by Melbourne_Blood View Post
    I can’t agree on Mcinerney over Clarke. Clarke was one of our best yesterday. Mcinerney has huge potential but needs plenty of work. Would like to see him string together some consistent performances in the NEAFL before rewarding him with a senior debut. He looks good when he is involved but he floats in and out of the game too much at this early stage.


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    There was a let of negativity about Clarke disposal but his disposal efficiency was 79% which is pretty good in my books.

  2. #110
    Quote Originally Posted by Aaron View Post
    Sarah Olle of Fox Sport writes the Case for Swans to win the flag in 2019:
    Outline - Read & annotate without distractions
    She's missing one significant point; we won't get an armchair rid from the umpires like the premiers have over the last four years.

  3. #111
    Quote Originally Posted by S.S. Bleeder View Post
    There was a let of negativity about Clarke disposal but his disposal efficiency was 79% which is pretty good in my books.
    Yep, and stats can be misleading but I think he had maybe 2 or 3 bad blunders by hand and foot , but the rest of his disposal was either good or at least decent. Seems like a lot of people only saw the blunders and judge his whole game on those , he had 29 touches and 3 were horrible. He does need to learnt to hand pass with both hands though , that has gotten him into trouble a few times already.


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  4. #112
    Quote Originally Posted by S.S. Bleeder View Post
    She's missing one significant point; we won't get an armchair rid from the umpires like the premiers have over the last four years.
    The siege mentality doesn't really get us anywhere. It's good to have a vent now and then, but the idea that the umpires systematically favour one side is frankly ridiculous. Move on to more substantive things.

  5. #113
    Quote Originally Posted by Bloods05 View Post
    The siege mentality doesn't really get us anywhere. It's good to have a vent now and then, but the idea that the umpires systematically favour one side is frankly ridiculous. Move on to more substantive things.
    Clearly you haven't seen the stats on frees for/against over the last decade. It was published on here about a year ago. We were on the bottom, and by a country mile.

  6. #114
    Quote Originally Posted by S.S. Bleeder View Post
    Clearly you haven't seen the stats on frees for/against over the last decade. It was published on here about a year ago. We were on the bottom, and by a country mile.
    Yes, I have seen those stats, but I don't think a persecution complex helps anyone. The stats are troubling, but not even remotely conclusive. There are legitimate concerns about the League's attitude to the Swans, but the idea that they are all conspiring against us at the highest level is just paranoid rubbish. We should devote our energies to dealing with real stuff, like CoLA and the academies. Every club has its disputes with AFL, and what we need is strong and consistent advocacy to ensure our voice is heard, not retreating into petty obsessions.

  7. #115
    Quote Originally Posted by Bloods05 View Post
    Yes, I have seen those stats, but I don't think a persecution complex helps anyone. The stats are troubling, but not even remotely conclusive. There are legitimate concerns about the League's attitude to the Swans, but the idea that they are all conspiring against us at the highest level is just paranoid rubbish. We should devote our energies to dealing with real stuff, like CoLA and the academies. Every club has its disputes with AFL, and what we need is strong and consistent advocacy to ensure our voice is heard, not retreating into petty obsessions.
    I wouldn't describe it as a petty obsession. The bias is evident in the statistics and 3 years ago almost certainly cost us a premiership (the league had their own enquiry, foundung the umpiring was not acceptable).

    What's not certain is why this happens. I really don't think it is our game style. My theory is that it is response bias. There is always crap in the media about our lock down style. Umps see what they expect to see. An example was the recent farce where league cracked down on holding...

    Category: | Herald Sun

    Or maybe maybe umpires are like bulls when they see red.
    He had observed that people who did lie were, on the whole, more resourceful and ambitious and successful than people who did not lie.

  8. #116
    I am pretty bullish about this season but I think the key will revolve around our form at home. In our first 10 rounds, we play five teams at home who are very strong (Adelaide, Melbourne, GWS, Essendon, Collingwood). Compare this to the away games of Western Bulldogs, Carlton, Richmond, Lions, and North Melbourne.

    I would expect us to win at least three of our away games and more likely four but I am really unsure of the home games. If we can regain our edge at the SCG and be 7-3 or 6-4 by round 10, I give ourselves a great chance.

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