Reports that Carlton are willing to part with pick 9 for Papley. It doesn't necessarily mean that's a straight swap, but would still give us 2 top 10 picks this year.
It sounds so much better to me that we go to the draft with picks 5 and 9, which could really set us nicely for the future, plus knowing that we are getting 2 quality academy players next year, rather than handing over those picks for someone we could get for nothing next year as a FA.
Just from a general business viewpoint, why should we give up something of high value this year for something we really don't need next year and will probably be available for free after the end of next season?
Why should we pay out an additional $800,000 and assume the injury risk for nothing really beneficial in return?
Why would we enter into such a high risk, low reward, transaction?
From my perspective, the next season or 2 would be a good time build the team with a solid core of players to make a realistic run for a premiership in a couple of years time. Richmond are just too powerful for the next few years. The Eagles and GWS are also looking very powerful.
Something like Sam Flanders and Luke Jackson, followed next year with Campbell and Gulden, seems to put the finishing touches for a club moving up the ladder and hoping to stay there for a long time.
Joe Daniher adds so little for us the next couple of years. With a starting base of McCartin and Blakey as key marking targets in the forward line in the post Franklin/Reid era, we are already in a good position of having a strong forward line.
Even in the case that Daniher would not choose free agency and pick the Swans next year (I would give that a 10% chance), we will still be in a strong position to land an elite key forward of the Daniher class in the next few years, or develop one from within our ranks.
Getting Daniher this year seems a loser to me, irrespective of what we have to give up for him. I can make a case for recruiting Daniher this year, but it's a very weak case when compared to the alternatives.
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