ODDS?

**GongSwan** · 8th September 2011, 06:02 PM

$3.10 for the Swans against Saints. If i were a

betting man I know where I'd be putting my hard earned(well, my pension lol)

**aardvark** · 8th September 2011, 06:21 PM

Sportsbet Swans $3.60 1-39pts

**dendol** · 8th September 2011, 06:48 PM

I just dont see why people think the Saints are value at ~$1.35. Even taking off my red and white glasses, I'd have Sydney $2.65 at the absolute worst.

**Triple B** · 8th September 2011, 08:09 PM

Originally Posted by aardvark

Sportsbet Swans $3.60 1-39pts

Take my advice. I'm over 50 and have crunched odds and numbers for most of my adult life.

Do not get involved in points start in finals where there is no tomorrow. Blowouts are the name of the game IF one side gains the ascendency late in the game. Not unusual for a team to kick 5 goals in junktime to turn a 20 point win into a 50 point thumping in these games.

I guess what I'm trying to say is I'd rather take $3.10 off the bat than the $3.60 at 39+.

It would be criminal if they won by 40 points and you lose your money...

**mcs** · 8th September 2011, 08:51 PM

I agree with Triple B. Especially when its such juicy odds for head to head. I'll be having some of that $3.15 thankyou very much, with a bit of luck it'll be a reasonably contribution to my return to Melbourne the following Friday. Saints should be favourites, but in my opinion anything over about $2.20 for us is generous.

**dendol** · 8th September 2011, 09:08 PM

Yep, you dont really want to be in a position where IF the swans are 5-6 goals up with a few minutes left you actually want the Saints to score to make your bet safe. Its barracking for the other team in that case, and I hate it, whether the game involves the swans or not!

**aardvark** · 8th September 2011, 11:33 PM

Originally Posted by dendol

Yep, you dont really want to be in a position where the swans are 5-6 goals up with a few minutes left

Yes, I think I do actually.

**aardvark** · 8th September 2011, 11:36 PM

Originally Posted by Triple B

Take my advice. I'm over 50 and have crunched odds and numbers for most of my adult life.

Do not get involved in points start in finals where there is no tomorrow. Blowouts are the name of the game IF one side gains the ascendency late in the game. Not unusual for a team to kick 5 goals in junktime to turn a 20 point win into a 50 point thumping in these games.

I guess what I'm trying to say is I'd rather take $3.10 off the bat than the $3.60 at 39+.

It would be criminal if they won by 40 points and you lose your money...

Normally I'd agree but this is a Sydney /StKilda game. I cant remember the last time there was a blowout between us. (probably my bad memory).

**Bas** · 8th September 2011, 11:37 PM

On League Teams they showed:

Sportsbet

St Kilda $1:40
Swans $2.95

Interesting.

**Damien** · 9th September 2011, 12:53 AM

Interesting, but that's where the money is flowing so whatever.

Nothing like having a winning run of 3 in a row ignored, a run that includes Geelong in Geelong and the team we are playing!! but whatever, I'm an old fashioned type of boy, I like being underdog!

Funny how the Melbourne media are happy to ignore the Collingwood loss last week because they had nothing to play for but St Kilda get the praised heaped on them for beating Carlton, who also had nothing to play for.

**unconfuseme** · 9th September 2011, 03:32 AM

Make it interesting with the all-up (Betfair odds)

Swans @ $3.15 into Goodes @ $8.00 for the Brownlow

Certainly more appealing odds than say;

Saints ($1.45) into Judd ($1.96) ... and plenty of mugs are sure to be taking those odds ... and that's why the bookies always leave the track in their Mercs and Beamers!

or, just take the $75 about the Swans for the flag!