Just to get the numbers right: Only 2 spots would be open as our list was full after adding Paddy, and Naismith was placed on the inactive list to open a spot used for HHK.
It's hard to come up with 8-10 players without losing the likes of Lloyd and Cunningham to free agency.
Looking at our list from a
spots available and prospects angle, we have a lot of reserves players with good prospects, but not enough open spots for the AFL side. Even taking into consideration the over 30 brigade, it's only a trickle set to leave the club compared to the numbers coming in through the a draft, where we've been generating 3+ good prospects a year.
- JPK and Sinclair are no longer regulars in he senior side, and will almost surely retire this year.
- Reid will only be 31next year and could be good for another 2 or 3 seasons if he stays off the injury list.
- Buddy may well play on, but unlikely after next year.
- We have a backup ruckman to take over from Hickey in a few years.
- We need to keep Gould on our list to eventually replace Rampe. It would be a shame to lose him without giving him a shot at AFL level. It's hard to have a read on this one, but I would understand if Gould wanted to look for an opportunity elsewhere, so we need to come up with something to keep him on the list.
I only see around 6 players retiring over the next 3 drafts, and we already have replacements on our list for all of them, so the next 3 drafts should see around 9 players added for depth. This is very positive for the organic growth of the squad.
I can see us taking 5 players in the draft this year; 3 in the ND and 2 in the rookie draft, which might both come from our academy, maybe Anderson and Webster.
The 5 players, excluding Naismith, that I can see going out are JPK, Sinclair, BOC, Taylor and either Bell or COR. I would like to hold onto Ronke and Clarke, but they would have to be in the mix as well. I'm also assuming that we hold on to Gould and Buddy stays on with us.
Everyone who played on Saturday could stay on and play for us next year, although there are doubts on several of them. We don't need to lose any of them to make room for 5 new additions.
The players that did not play in that game who I think are good prospects and still in early development are (10): McDonald, Campbell, Sheldrick, Roberts, HHK, Gould, Sheather, Corey Warner, McLean and McAndrew.
Depth players are ( 4): Cunningham (medisub), Ronke, Wicks, Melican.
Unlikely to make it: Rankin
There's usually some unprojected player movement, so this is just how things might stand around 3 months before the trading season. I think the list looks healthy, with some good depth, a lot of youth in early development and good draft hand with 2 firs rounders and a pick in the 30s to add this year.
This situation calls for a limited list turnover, looking for quality more than quantity. Three's a backlog of decent prospects building up that need to go through a reasonable development cycle before piling on too many players just to fill out the numbers. There should be a focus on KPPs, because that is where we look the most vulnerable.
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