Originally posted by Mel
It's been a while since high school maths, but I don't think that's the way percentages and probabilities work. There was never a 100% chance that five of our top players would be injured come GF time. Can anybody who is/was good at maths help me out?
This may be incorrect but it's a good first approximation.

Let's assume the season is 26 games, and the probability of a specific player being injury-free for the season is 75% (0.75).

Then the chance of that player being injured during a game is 0.75^(1/26) which is roughly equal to 0.989.

The chance of all 22 players escaping injury in a game is 0.75^(22/26) or roughly 0.784.

The chance of all 22 players going injury-free during a 4-game finals campaign is 0.75^(88/26) or roughly 0.378.