I still think this need to "bottom out" theory while it is romantic and exciting (in seeing a whole heap of young low draft picks turning into a premiership team _) is still fairly unproven.

Of the recent premiers , you will always find some low draft picks but, many of geelong and west coasts talent were not the result of low draft picks, Brisbane were the recipient of some generous concessions in the merger with Fitzroy, Port havent ever really bottomed out and the Swans , well everyone seems to know our story.

The bottoming out theory hasnt worked for Richmond yet, St Kilda while seen to be loaded with talent from their consistent bottoming out but hasnt even made a grand final, melbourne are still at the bottom despite bottoming out a number of times and hawthorn while the most exciting but havent made the top four at this stage.