View Poll Results: Drafting can be best explained by -

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25. You may not vote on this poll
  • One in the hand is worth two in the bush.

    4 16.00%
  • Two in the hand is worth one in the bush.

    1 4.00%
  • You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink.

    5 20.00%
  • A man has no ears for that to which experience has given him no access.

    1 4.00%
  • Just look at ROK - I mean really look at him.

    14 56.00%
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Thread: The Value of a Draft Pick

  1. #13
    RWOs Black Sheep AnnieH's Avatar
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    Duck butt!!

    He's back.

    Yay.
    Wild speculation, unsubstantiated rumours, silly jokes and opposition delight in another's failures is what makes an internet forum fun.
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  2. #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeeEmmAre View Post
    I took the ROK option because none of the others made any sense to me
    You're not actually legally bound to vote in these polls you know?

  3. #15
    A first round draft pick gets a wage of about $60000 plus match payments,minimum 2 year contract.
    Luke ball was asking for $500000 a year, minimum 2 year contract. Once a player puts a price on his head it must be paid.
    Western Bulldogs pick 15, Port pick 9-10-16, Geelong 17, Brisbane 27, Adelaide 13-29, Sydney 6-14 all could have taken him if they either had room in there salery cap. Sydney probably had the room but would'nt pay that much.

  4. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by JUDO View Post
    A first round draft pick gets a wage of about $60000 plus match payments,minimum 2 year contract.
    Luke ball was asking for $500000 a year, minimum 2 year contract. Once a player puts a price on his head it must be paid.
    Western Bulldogs pick 15, Port pick 9-10-16, Geelong 17, Brisbane 27, Adelaide 13-29, Sydney 6-14 all could have taken him if they either had room in there salery cap. Sydney probably had the room but would'nt pay that much.
    Yes one positive out of this is that the Pies are paying him well over the odds. There might be a few players with their nose out of joint if he doesn't perform for them on the field in 2010

  5. #17
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    I hope I'm not proved wrong but I don't think Luke Ball has ever fulfilled his potential of being pick 2. There is a reason he wasn't playing this year for St.Kilda.

    I think he's a great extractor but slow and can't kick. To me he's a poor man's Brett Kirk.

    Was he a bargain at pick 30, well of course he was and it was manipulation that let him slip that far. Interesting that a number of Collingwood players had to change their salaries to fit in Ball's $500K per year in 2010 & 2011.

    Let's wait and see whether we got value for Jolly. I was happy with picks 14 & 46, it got us Jetta and McGlynn and we are in a stronger ruck position as well. Mumford may prove a real bargain.

    Collingwood have put a lot of eggs in the Jolly/Ball basket, time will tell if they got it right.

  6. #18
    Collingwood paid over the odds for Ball - not much of a player in my opinion. Couldn't get a game at St Kilda because he is one-dimensional. Not much pace and not a very good kick. Is an extractor only.

  7. #19
    Senior Player Bloody Hell's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by stellation View Post
    Seeing St Kilda get nothing for Ball has made me feel a lot better about getting #14 for Jolly.
    Since I started this thread Roos has come out and said that Rohan and Jetta were the two the swans wanted. So presumably if we had pick 7 we would have taken Jetta.

    So now I can pretend we got picks 7 and 46 for Jolly...which is much closer to what I would have expected. (Think he should have been around #4.)

    Which comes back to the point....somewhat.

    When I was a very young man I recall watching an educational cartoon that explained how money evolved from bartering.

    Person A wanted a chair - so they went to the chairmaker to purchase a chair. All they had to barter with was a bag of seeds. The chairmaker didn't want any seeds...he wanted a new hammer and saw. So Person A went to the blacksmith to get a new hammer and saw for the chairmaker....but the blacksmith didn't want seeds...he wanted a new saddle for his horse...so Person A went to the horseman....who didn't want seeds he wanted some hay for horses. So Person A went to the Farmer to get some hay. The farmer wanted the seeds! So person A took the hay to the horseman, the saddle to the blacksmith the hammer and saw to the chairman and got their chair!....What a great story...

    That pretty much sums up the trading process for me.

    Why not allocate values next to draft positions and players?

    Draft #1 = 10000
    Draft #2 = 9250
    Draft #3 = 8750
    Draft #4 = 8350
    etc

    Then using a system like the Dreamteam or similar that takes into account everything - age, matches played, TOG, likelyhood of injuries....any factor you want to consider - then you come up with a number to put against the player. With the process presided over by a committee for transparency and consistancy.

    Adam Goodes = 12223

    Amon Buchanan = 4766

    If you don't think the player is worth it don't sell or buy.

    Clubs could bank points and go on a spending spree on any given year. Clubs could "sell" unwanted draft picks back to the AFL for trade units.

    Take the Jolly example. Say Jolly was worth 8855. The team that wants him only has the #4 pick to trade. So for the trade to work we would would have to give over Jolly and receive the #4 plus 505 trade units.

    Trade done everyone's happy - everyone has paid market price.

    How much sense does this make and how easy would it be to implement????

    Get on it AFL!!!
    Last edited by Bloody Hell; 2nd December 2009 at 10:07 PM.
    The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.

  8. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bloody Hell View Post
    That pretty much sums up the trading process for me.

    Why not allocate values next to draft positions and players?

    Draft #1 = 10000
    Draft #2 = 9250
    Draft #3 = 8750
    Draft #4 = 8350
    etc

    Then using a system like the Dreamteam or similar that takes into account everything - age, matches played, TOG, likelyhood of injuries....any factor you want to consider - then you come up with a number to put against the player. With the process presided over by a committee for transparency and consistancy.
    I came up with a similar idea earlier during trade week but don't think I ever posted it anywhere!

    It would essentially introduce trading using Monopoly money and could solve so many of the real and perceived problems of the current trading system - like illiquidity and non-divisibility of current trade currency.

    Specifically, it could be used to effectively implement free agency while ensuring the club losing the player gets decent value in return. For a player out of contract, the rule could be that their current club has to trade them to their club of choice - if they have one (and of course assuming that club wants the player). Minimum fees could either be set by a formula or by an arbitration panel and the issue of the new club not having anything they are willing to trade that the losing club wants is eliminated.

    The main challenge would be to set the amount of currency available to clubs and the price scale such that trading credits were a relatively scarce commodity - ie a club like Hawthorn wanting a Burgoyne or the Pies wanting Jolly would actually have to go out and raise the necessary credits by selling something to a club that wanted it, unless they had stockpiled credits from previous years by trading away picks or players.

    Another problem it could fix is the priority pick system. Rather than giving crap clubs over generous access to top draft picks, just give them enough extra credits to go out and trade for a decent player - or buy another decent pick if they can find a club willing to sell one. It might encourage struggling clubs to seek more immediate improvement by recruiting decent seasoned players, rather than putting all their eggs in the basket of 18yos, whose impact won't be felt for a few years.


    I'd also love to see a system like this used to further decouple draft pick allocations from previous year's performance. Clubs could receive the top picks on a rotational basis, meaning all clubs have access sometimes to the highest quality young players and the AFL would still have a system to help struggling clubs rebuild - but as I say above, by recruiting experienced players who will have an impact sooner. It could get rid of the perception (or the reality) of tanking, since the difference between finishing 16th and 15th wouldn't be access to the absolute best young player, but rather a more marginal difference in the additional trading credits allocated.

  9. #21
    Senior Player Bloody Hell's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by liz View Post
    I came up with a similar idea earlier during trade week but don't think I ever posted it anywhere!
    Great minds....

    I didn't want to go into too much detail for fear of being accused of thinking too much again - but I was working along similar lines of having an all encompassing system, to the point that rather monetary sanctions being placed on a club for misdemeaners - the club would loose trade points. Then see everyone fall in line!

    An interesting aspect would be the value put on the No. 1 pick compared to existing elite players.

    Coming up with inital credits could be done for the first draft - then it's up to the club to manage. A club could sell pick 15, 50 etc back to the AFL for credits if required, then those picks could be bought by another club or just skipped on draft day if not wanted. If you choose to pass on draft day you get the credit value of that pick. I wouldn't be against giving an annual allowance to clubs as well, but if the system could operate without it all the better.

    There's always new picks "given" each year, so always liquidity being generated.

    You could also have an overdraft if you really need it one year, with a rigid repayment scheme over the following years.
    Last edited by Bloody Hell; 3rd December 2009 at 03:50 AM.
    The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.

  10. #22
    I think we can easily afford another big name in 2011 I think we are saving way over $600k pa of the salary cap and by prepaying in 2010 we maybe able to go for 2 x $500k pa players for 2011 season !!

    we have so many young players that will increase in 2011, 2012 quite significantly also - ie approx 6 to 10 of them could go from $60kpa to $200k plus pa

    Supposedly we have been sitting on the 91% (spend n the cap) for some years ie $600k or so up our sleave every year for some years now........quoted in the Australian newspaper we were $750k ahead when we were after Kerrr for the 2009 season and that was whether Hall stayed or not Swans offer Daniel Kerr five-year deal | The Australian


    Rough Guess of Net Gain of past salaries vs new salaries for 2010:

    BHALL - Mumford, Seaby, Kennedy fairly sure Baz was on approx $750k pa after signing that massive 4 year contract for $3mill ?

    MickO - $500k pa = Tag300k, McGlynn200k

    Leo - $350k = all 5 newbies = $60k each so that would be Leo's salary minimum

    Crouch and Abblett - $300k each = Bradshaw at reported $500k pa?. Both Crouchie and Ablett were in their final year of good contracts signed in 2006

    More ?? ie Playfair ?
    Last edited by Auntie.Gerald; 3rd December 2009 at 08:04 AM.
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  11. #23
    Senior Player Bloody Hell's Avatar
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    I think you've missed it there.

    It's more the etheral value of a pick - not a literal monetary value.

    I'm going to work it out...
    The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.

  12. #24
    Senior Player Bloody Hell's Avatar
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    Draft #1 - 10000
    Draft #2 - 9250
    Draft #3 - 8750
    Draft #4 - 8350
    Draft #5 ? 8000
    Draft #6 - 7700
    Draft #7 - 7450
    Draft #8 - 7250
    Draft #9 - 7100
    Draft #10 ? 7000
    Draft #11 ? 6900
    Draft #12 - 6800
    Draft #13 ? 6700

    Draft #18 ? 6200
    Draft #19 ? 6100
    Draft #20 ? 6000
    Draft #21 ? 5800
    Draft #22 ? 5600

    Draft #29 - 4200
    Draft #30 ? 4000
    Draft #31 ? 3750

    Draft #39 - 1750
    Draft #40 ? 1500
    Draft #41 ? 1250
    Draft #42 ? 1000
    Draft #43 ? 1000

    Draft #50 ? 1000
    Draft #51 ? 1000

    Draft #60 ? 1000
    Draft #61 ? 1000
    Draft #62 ? 1000
    Draft #63 ? 1000
    Draft #64 ? 1000
    End of 4 rounds
    Draft #65 ? 500
    Draft #66 ? 500

    Draft #84 ? 500
    Draft #85 ? 500
    Etc to infinity.
    Last edited by Bloody Hell; 3rd December 2009 at 10:29 PM.
    The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.

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