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Thread: List changes and trade bait

  1. #73
    Carpe Noctem CureTheSane's Avatar
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    Still surprised at all the Mitchell talk.
    May as well be directed at Parker for what it's worth.

    Regardless, to address an earlier post in trading a player for pick 2 not being worthwhile because we are midfielder rich, well pick 2 can be on traded for a ruckman, or whatever else we need.
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  2. #74
    Veterans List Ludwig's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr Magoo View Post
    If we are being forced to trade , I would trade Cunningham before Mitchell. I see Mitchell as a better prospect for longer.

    If we arent being forced to trade why give up Mitchell at all. Just get rid of lockyer and a couple of others on the edge, take Heeney plus some others further down the draft and you never know we might end up with a parker , a hannaberry, a goodes, a reid etc etc etc etc. I dont see the need to trade out Mitchell when we are already effectively guaranteed a top ten in Heeney.
    The issue is not a matter of getting rid of your worst players, but rather how to retain your best players and maintain a good team balance over a long period of time.

    With the salary cap and free agency it's nearly impossible to stockpile good players, so you can only have so much quality depth before it becomes an issue. Liz has pointed out that it is even more difficult with KPPs, simply because there are fewer slots to fill. One of the reasons that Sam Reid's name keeps popping up with jounos is that he can't move up beyond the 3rd tall forward with Tippett and Buddy in lineup. I feel that the key to our KPP stocks is Alex Johnson. If he returns to fitness and form, I don't think we have a problem in this area, and we are looking good across the ground for some time to come. So there is no urgency to trade anyone this year.

    If you are the Swans' list manager, you have to plan for the likelihood that one or more midfielders will be leaving one way or another simply because we've been a bit lucky with our with FS and academy players coming through as well as good drafting. It is perhaps more difficult being a list manager for a strong club than a weak club. If you're the Demons, almost any decent player will help your club, but at the Swans, how to manage the player mix, the salary cap and player expectations is a much more complicated matter.

  3. #75
    On the Rookie List tasmania60's Avatar
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    Agree with what has been said .so what happens next. Be honest people Swans really need a quality ruck man , i know we have young emerging players but watch Pyke get pushed around .Big Derickx is solid but has no speed .The backs are the real problem, Shaw, Malceski, Richards,Grundy either leaving or age is telling .Wheres the young big body replacements, cant see em . Sorry people to many midfielders, hate to say it but really have to chase so quality big fellas !

  4. #76
    On the Rookie List Conor_Dillon's Avatar
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    Has anyone suggested that we go after Stefan Martin yet? If not, let me be the first...we should try and poach Stefan Martin.

    After spending virtually his whole career at clubs in the bottom 4-6 on the ladder he might jump at the opportunity to join a successful list - without asking for a big pay day.

    Might be extremely wishful thinking but it couldn't hurt to ask..He's only 26 so we'd get at least 5 seasons out of him.

    For what it's worth I do rate Pyke and the 2 young N's have impressed in their development to date but it's still one of our only weaker areas, albeit not disastrous.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Whilst we're on the topic too, what are everyone's thoughts on Higgins? Could be the perfect replacement for Mal (if he goes) on a halfback and his class would add a bit of icing to our already pretty impressive cake. I doubt we could afford whatever price he is asking but similarly to what I said about Martin, maybe he would place more value on playing with a successful team than the $$.
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  5. #77
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conor_Dillon View Post
    Has anyone suggested that we go after Stefan Martin yet? If not, let me be the first...we should try and poach Stefan Martin.

    After spending virtually his whole career at clubs in the bottom 4-6 on the ladder he might jump at the opportunity to join a successful list - without asking for a big pay day.

    Might be extremely wishful thinking but it couldn't hurt to ask..He's only 26 so we'd get at least 5 seasons out of him.

    For what it's worth I do rate Pyke and the 2 young N's have impressed in their development to date but it's still one of our only weaker areas, albeit not disastrous.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Whilst we're on the topic too, what are everyone's thoughts on Higgins? Could be the perfect replacement for Mal (if he goes) on a halfback and his class would add a bit of icing to our already pretty impressive cake. I doubt we could afford whatever price he is asking but similarly to what I said about Martin, maybe he would place more value on playing with a successful team than the $$.
    I like Stephan Martin but he has only had two good bursts in his career. He was brilliant as a sole Ruckman when Jamar went down in 2011. He has been even better at the same sole rucking role at Brisbane in the 2nd half of this year.

    He needs to be the sole Ruckman to have an impact. He has shown limited ability as a tall defender / tall forward or relieving ruck.

    I would not approach him unless you wanted to ruck him solo for 80% of game time.

    He is also one of the most intelligent footballers with a VCE of 99. Added to that he is a good looking bloke. Sometimes God blesses people with everything!

  6. #78
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    Quote Originally Posted by Reggi View Post
    Wtf - we have Tippet and Buddy. We are struggling to find a spot for Reid what is the next guy going to do
    We might have Buddy and Tippet but we will probably not have Goodes next year. As I said Tippet is iffy and if we loose him who takes his place? Reid has shown a lot of potential but is yet to dominate his position in any game. If we picked up a good forward in the draft this year, it would be two years before you could expect them to be a power. Yes it is a gamble but it is about planning for the future and we can afford to give up something in an area were we are strong to boost a potential weakness.
    Where's the remote?

  7. #79
    Quote Originally Posted by Ludwig View Post
    The issue is not a matter of getting rid of your worst players, but rather how to retain your best players and maintain a good team balance over a long period of time.

    With the salary cap and free agency it's nearly impossible to stockpile good players, so you can only have so much quality depth before it becomes an issue. Liz has pointed out that it is even more difficult with KPPs, simply because there are fewer slots to fill. One of the reasons that Sam Reid's name keeps popping up with jounos is that he can't move up beyond the 3rd tall forward with Tippett and Buddy in lineup. I feel that the key to our KPP stocks is Alex Johnson. If he returns to fitness and form, I don't think we have a problem in this area, and we are looking good across the ground for some time to come. So there is no urgency to trade anyone this year.

    If you are the Swans' list manager, you have to plan for the likelihood that one or more midfielders will be leaving one way or another simply because we've been a bit lucky with our with FS and academy players coming through as well as good drafting. It is perhaps more difficult being a list manager for a strong club than a weak club. If you're the Demons, almost any decent player will help your club, but at the Swans, how to manage the player mix, the salary cap and player expectations is a much more complicated matter.
    I get the retenetion bit , but surely getting rid of your worst players is the ultimate goal. Of course the result of that is that you will have too many good players and some will leave but isnt that a good situation to be in. THe point with Mitchell (which is where all the discussion is centred) is that we dont have to worry this year about retaining him as he is still in contract so why trade him. You will get a KPP in the thirties in the draft anyway. Its only a rare few standout KPPs that need to be taken in the top ten, so my point is why trade away Mitchell when you are just as likely to get a reasonable KPP at thirty as you are at ten.

    The ones you are likely to lose are the Jed Lambs of the world who arent well paid yet and dont think they are getting an opportunity. If I was to look at the Swans list I would think Biggs is more in that category than Mitchell.

  8. #80
    Veterans List Ludwig's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conor_Dillon View Post
    Has anyone suggested that we go after Stefan Martin yet? If not, let me be the first...we should try and poach Stefan Martin.

    After spending virtually his whole career at clubs in the bottom 4-6 on the ladder he might jump at the opportunity to join a successful list - without asking for a big pay day.

    Might be extremely wishful thinking but it couldn't hurt to ask..He's only 26 so we'd get at least 5 seasons out of him.

    For what it's worth I do rate Pyke and the 2 young N's have impressed in their development to date but it's still one of our only weaker areas, albeit not disastrous.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Whilst we're on the topic too, what are everyone's thoughts on Higgins? Could be the perfect replacement for Mal (if he goes) on a halfback and his class would add a bit of icing to our already pretty impressive cake. I doubt we could afford whatever price he is asking but similarly to what I said about Martin, maybe he would place more value on playing with a successful team than the $$.
    Although I like Martin as well, I don't think he fits our situation. Martin will actually turn 28 in November, so he's not that much younger than Pyke. I think Pyke will adjust to being the number 1 ruckman and return to his 2013 form. I also have high hopes for both Naismith and Nanka. With Tippett and Reid in the team, we are likely to only play one ruckman for some time to come, so we should be okay going forward. I don't think we have space for Martin unless we don't offer Pyke another contract.

    Even if both Shaw and Mal are gone next year, we are looking good in the small/medium defender department. Biggs and Rohan have both shown they can play the position and we also have Jones to come into the side. McVeigh can always replace Malceski as we will have lots midfield replacements for Macca. So that makes a no on Higgins. We have lots of depth and flexibility in this area.

  9. #81
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ludwig View Post
    Although I like Martin as well, I don't think he fits our situation. Martin will actually turn 28 in November, so he's not that much younger than Pyke. I think Pyke will adjust to being the number 1 ruckman and return to his 2013 form. I also have high hopes for both Naismith and Nanka. With Tippett and Reid in the team, we are likely to only play one ruckman for some time to come, so we should be okay going forward. I don't think we have space for Martin unless we don't offer Pyke another contract.

    Even if both Shaw and Mal are gone next year, we are looking good in the small/medium defender department. Biggs and Rohan have both shown they can play the position and we also have Jones to come into the side. McVeigh can always replace Malceski as we will have lots midfield replacements for Macca. So that makes a no on Higgins. We have lots of depth and flexibility in this area.
    Great post Ludwig. I think that Heeney being a great ball user can rotate of half back and in the midfield in 2015 as we'll.

    My pick is that Malceski and Mitchell will leave. Maybe Jetta if he is homesick. We would get good trade currency for those guys so the team would be able to develop for the future as well as being a top 6 team over the next three seasons.

  10. #82
    Veterans List Ludwig's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr Magoo View Post
    I get the retenetion bit , but surely getting rid of your worst players is the ultimate goal. Of course the result of that is that you will have too many good players and some will leave but isnt that a good situation to be in. THe point with Mitchell (which is where all the discussion is centred) is that we dont have to worry this year about retaining him as he is still in contract so why trade him. You will get a KPP in the thirties in the draft anyway. Its only a rare few standout KPPs that need to be taken in the top ten, so my point is why trade away Mitchell when you are just as likely to get a reasonable KPP at thirty as you are at ten.

    The ones you are likely to lose are the Jed Lambs of the world who arent well paid yet and dont think they are getting an opportunity. If I was to look at the Swans list I would think Biggs is more in that category than Mitchell.
    Of course you want to keep your best players, but the system works in a way that effectively prevents you from stockpiling talent. The challenge for the list management team is to plan ahead so that we can get the best value for players that want to leave, either for more money or playing opportunity.

    One example is how Hawthorn lost both Kennedy and McGlynn in 2009 and didn't get good value for them, although they did well with the draft picks they got in the trade. Even without those 2 Hawthorn still consistently had one of the best midfields going around. So Hawthorn were right that they could spare them, but didn't get maximum value in the trades.

    It looks as though we are heading for a similar situation as Hawthorn in 2009 with not being able to afford spots to all your good players. So the question is: What do you do? I think crunch time will come next year for us when some hard decisions will need to be made. But just suppose Carlton are willing to offer Mitchell $3 mil. over 5 years and he's keen of taking the offer and Carlton will give us their 1st rounder, say pick 6. Would this be tempting?

  11. #83
    Quote Originally Posted by Ludwig View Post
    Of course you want to keep your best players, but the system works in a way that effectively prevents you from stockpiling talent. The challenge for the list management team is to plan ahead so that we can get the best value for players that want to leave, either for more money or playing opportunity.

    One example is how Hawthorn lost both Kennedy and McGlynn in 2009 and didn't get good value for them, although they did well with the draft picks they got in the trade. Even without those 2 Hawthorn still consistently had one of the best midfields going around. So Hawthorn were right that they could spare them, but didn't get maximum value in the trades.

    It looks as though we are heading for a similar situation as Hawthorn in 2009 with not being able to afford spots to all your good players. So the question is: What do you do? I think crunch time will come next year for us when some hard decisions will need to be made. But just suppose Carlton are willing to offer Mitchell $3 mil. over 5 years and he's keen of taking the offer and Carlton will give us their 1st rounder, say pick 6. Would this be tempting?
    I agree with you that this it how it supposed to work and does work and I am sure that as we have shown in the past that if a player "wants" to leave we will try and do something for the right deal for the club - free agency will ensure that clubs do deals with contracted players rather than risk losing them for nothing when they come out of contract like potentially Malceski - in relation to Pick 6 for Mitchell might save us some money - I would prefer a player and would take Yarran if Mitchell wanted to leave !!!

  12. #84
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ludwig View Post
    Of course you want to keep your best players, but the system works in a way that effectively prevents you from stockpiling talent. The challenge for the list management team is to plan ahead so that we can get the best value for players that want to leave, either for more money or playing opportunity.

    One example is how Hawthorn lost both Kennedy and McGlynn in 2009 and didn't get good value for them, although they did well with the draft picks they got in the trade. Even without those 2 Hawthorn still consistently had one of the best midfields going around. So Hawthorn were right that they could spare them, but didn't get maximum value in the trades.

    It looks as though we are heading for a similar situation as Hawthorn in 2009 with not being able to afford spots to all your good players. So the question is: What do you do? I think crunch time will come next year for us when some hard decisions will need to be made. But just suppose Carlton are willing to offer Mitchell $3 mil. over 5 years and he's keen of taking the offer and Carlton will give us their 1st rounder, say pick 6. Would this be tempting?
    It's a deal. The Swans also save a couple of hundred thousand dollars that we have had to pay Mitchell above the odds to keep GWS away.

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