Still too hard to call. If you run the scenario that the Swans win three and lose to the Pies, it's hard to stay in the top four. Requires a Freo loss (dogs next week is a challenge, but their run home is pretty good from there) AND one of either Dees or Pies to somehow lose two (and we would still need a percentage boost to take Dees) AND Lions to lose one of their remaining games (this one is a likely scenario).
Simply put, we need to win everything from here. Pies in two weeks is the top four game no doubt.
Captain, I am detecting large quantities of win in this sector
I did the ladder predictor with the simple method of picking the higher-ranked team in every round.
If Sydney defeat Collingwood:
GEEL 18 4 0 WWW
MELB 17 5 0 WWW
SYDN 16 6 0 WWW
FREM 15 6 1 WWW
BRIS 15 7 0 WWL
COLL 15 7 0 LLW
RICH 13 8 1 WWW
W.B. 12 10 0 LWW
CARL 12 10 0 LLL
GCFC 11 11 0 WLW
ST.K 11 11 0 LLL
PORT 10 12 0 LWW
ESS. 8 14 0 WLL
ADEL 8 14 0 WWL
HAW. 7 15 0 LLL
GWS. 5 17 0 LLL
WCE. 2 20 0 LLL
NMFC 2 20 0 LLL
If Collingwood win, 3rd to 6th would be Collingwood, Fremantle, Sydney, Brisbane.
"Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi final
Remaining matches where top-10 sides play each other:
Round 21: Melbourne v Collingwood, Western Bulldogs v Fremantle, Geelong v St Kilda, Brisbane v Carlton.
Round 22: St Kilda v Brisbane, Melbourne v Carlton, Sydney v Collingwood.
Round 23: Brisbane v Melbourne, Carlton v Collingwood, St Kilda v Sydney.
"Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi final
A very sensible approach.
I've been playing with the Squiggle predictor. You get slightly different results each time if you use "autotip" and then reset before running again, but most runs put Sydney top 4. It's "beat Pies" really though isn't it...
I think Pies v Dees will be very informative.
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